Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.