SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.46%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
12.17% ( -0.34) | 20.16% ( -1.04) | 67.66% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( 1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( 3.3) | 49.83% ( -3.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( 2.87) | 71.83% ( -2.87) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.23% ( 1.46) | 49.76% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.51% ( 1) | 84.49% ( -1) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 1.49) | 13.77% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.93% ( 2.88) | 41.07% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.18% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.97)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( -1.11) 0-2 @ 13.46% ( -0.35)1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 8.9% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 4.41% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.23)0-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.22)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.39% Total : 67.65% |
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