Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorodeya win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorodeya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorodeya would win this match.
Result | ||
Gorodeya | Draw | Smolevichi |
43.19% | 26.23% | 30.58% |
Both teams to score 51.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |