Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.