SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.14%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Vitebsk |
8.71% ( -0.02) | 17.71% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 38.73% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( -0.03) | 49.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( -0.03) | 71.09% ( 0.02) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.92% ( -0.06) | 56.08% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.48% ( -0.04) | 88.51% ( 0.03) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( -0) | 11.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.96% ( -0) | 37.04% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 8.71% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.71% | 0-2 @ 15.11% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 14.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 10.76% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 73.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
