SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.46%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
13.48% ( 0.82) | 21.93% ( 0.78) | 64.59% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( -1.28) | 53.9% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( -1.08) | 75.36% ( 1.08) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.88% ( 0.54) | 50.12% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.26% ( 0.37) | 84.74% ( -0.37) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( -0.95) | 16.08% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( -1.76) | 45.46% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.48% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 14.72% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 13.46% ( -0.2)1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.2% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 3.75% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.58% |
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