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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.57%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
14.61% ( 0.05) | 24.27% ( 0.05) | 61.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 38.51% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.09) | 60.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( -0.07) | 80.27% ( 0.07) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.87% ( 0.02) | 52.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.91% ( 0.01) | 86.09% ( -0.01) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.07) | 19.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( -0.12) | 51.46% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 14.61% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 16.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 13.57% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.11% |
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