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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.57%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Vitebsk |
15.53% ( 0.06) | 22.92% ( 0.05) | 61.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% ( -0.09) | 53.99% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% ( -0.07) | 75.43% ( 0.07) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.03) | 47.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.4% ( 0.02) | 82.6% ( -0.02) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.07) | 17.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( -0.12) | 47.38% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.53% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 12.57% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.54% |
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