Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Sputnik win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.