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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
3 - 2
Slutsk

Krasnov (23'), Dukso (87'), Koval (90+2')
Zhukov (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Melnikov (32' pen., 74')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Slutsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 4-1 Smorgon
Friday, April 14 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 2-0 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
SmorgonDrawSlutsk
35.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.09% (0.0010000000000012 0) 37.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.75% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)76.06% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.33% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Slutsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 35.67%
    Slutsk 37.23%
    Draw 27.09%
SmorgonDrawSlutsk
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 4-1 Smorgon
Friday, April 14 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 0-4 Isloch
Friday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 2-1 Smorgon
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Belshina
Sunday, March 19 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 FC Minsk
Sunday, November 28 at 10am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 0-0 Smorgon
Saturday, November 20 at 10am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 2-0 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 3-1 Slutsk
Saturday, April 8 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 1-1 FC Minsk
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Energetik-BGU 1-0 Slutsk
Sunday, March 19 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 0-0 Slutsk
Saturday, November 12 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 0-1 Soligorsk
Sunday, November 6 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League


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