Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Sputnik had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Sputnik win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.
