Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Sputnik win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.