Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
