Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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