SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
45.6% ( 0.01) | 24.32% ( -0) | 30.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.01) | 44.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.01) | 66.77% ( -0.01) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.01) | 19.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.01) | 51.56% ( -0.01) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 0) | 27.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( 0) | 63.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.07% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.08% |
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