Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Genk
25.81% ( -0.2)	22.72% ( -0.04)	51.46% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

-0.01)

40.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.6% (

-0.01)

62.4% (

0.01)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-0.15)

28.6% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

-0.19)

64.4% (

0.19)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

0.07)

15.69% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24% (

0.14)

44.75% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 25.81%

Genk 51.46%

Draw 22.72%

Mechelen	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 25.81%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.46%