SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Genk |
25.81% ( -0.2) | 22.72% ( -0.04) | 51.46% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.01) | 40.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( -0.01) | 62.4% ( 0.01) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.15) | 28.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -0.19) | 64.4% ( 0.19) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.07) | 15.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( 0.14) | 44.75% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.46% |
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