SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Gent |
26.66% ( -2.14) | 23.89% ( 0.3) | 49.45% ( 1.85) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( -2.86) | 44.67% ( 2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -2.82) | 67.03% ( 2.82) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( -3.02) | 30.41% ( 3.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( -3.76) | 66.6% ( 3.76) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.38) | 18.15% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( -0.65) | 49.13% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.66% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.65)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 1.01)0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.77)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.45% |
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