SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Genk |
46.57% ( 1.01) | 23.17% ( 0.14) | 30.25% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -1.28) | 38.92% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( -1.36) | 61.24% ( 1.35) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.11) | 17.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( -0.19) | 47.22% ( 0.19) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -1.33) | 24.98% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -1.87) | 59.63% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.42)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.25% |
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