Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 21.3% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
Result | ||
Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
58.2% ( -0.21) | 20.49% ( 0.09) | 21.3% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.47% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.49% ( -0.31) | 34.51% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.56% ( -0.35) | 56.44% ( 0.35) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.25% ( -0.16) | 11.74% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.1% ( -0.34) | 36.89% ( 0.33) |
Standard Liege Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% ( -0.08) | 29.21% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.84% ( -0.1) | 65.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 21.3% |
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