SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 55%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
55% ( 0.1) | 22.48% ( -0.03) | 22.51% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.03) | 42.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.03) | 64.73% ( -0.03) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.04) | 15.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.97% ( 0.08) | 44.02% ( -0.08) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.05) | 32.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( -0.06) | 69.09% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.51% |
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