SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Charleroi |
43.12% ( -0.39) | 23.62% ( 0.09) | 33.25% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 62.02% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( -0.34) | 39.79% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.36) | 62.15% ( 0.35) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( -0.3) | 18.79% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( -0.51) | 50.21% ( 0.51) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( 0.01) | 57.7% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.25% |
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