Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
