Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
