Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Eupen win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
