Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
