Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eupen | Draw | Leuven |
33.73% ( 0.43) | 24.81% ( 0.4) | 41.46% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 57.92% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.78% ( -1.72) | 45.22% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.43% ( -1.67) | 67.57% ( 1.67) |
Eupen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( -0.56) | 25.92% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.08% ( -0.77) | 60.91% ( 0.77) |
Leuven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.19% ( -1.12) | 21.81% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.98% ( -1.73) | 55.02% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Eupen | Draw | Leuven |
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.46% |
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