SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Leuven |
31.04% ( -0.65) | 24.15% ( 0.05) | 44.81% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.49) | 43.18% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -0.49) | 65.58% ( 0.49) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.65) | 26.59% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.87) | 61.81% ( 0.87) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( 0.06) | 19.45% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.7% ( 0.09) | 51.3% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 44.81% |
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