SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
43.93% ( -0.28) | 24.67% ( 0.05) | 31.41% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.14) | 45.37% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.13) | 67.71% ( 0.13) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.18) | 20.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( -0.29) | 53.36% ( 0.28) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.08) | 27.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( 0.1) | 62.92% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.41% |
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