SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Standard Liege |
25.35% ( 0.08) | 23.06% ( 0.04) | 51.59% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.11) | 42.04% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( -0.11) | 64.44% ( 0.11) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( 0) | 30.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( 0.01) | 66.15% ( -0.01) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -0.08) | 16.38% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.99% ( -0.15) | 46% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.59% |
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