SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Standard Liege |
46.14% ( 0.55) | 25.16% ( -0.07) | 28.7% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.02) | 48.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.01) | 70.95% ( -0.02) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.25) | 21.19% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0.39) | 54.07% ( -0.4) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.35) | 31.05% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.41) | 67.37% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.7% |
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