SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Eupen |
59.8% ( 0.11) | 21.81% ( -0.04) | 18.38% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( 0.03) | 44.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( 0.03) | 67.32% ( -0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.04) | 14.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.24% ( 0.09) | 42.76% ( -0.09) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( -0.07) | 38.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( -0.06) | 74.97% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Eupen |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.38% |
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