SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Standard Liege |
37.93% ( -0.21) | 24.76% ( 0.06) | 37.31% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.28) | 44.54% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.27) | 66.9% ( 0.27) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.23) | 23.26% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( -0.34) | 57.19% ( 0.34) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.05) | 23.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.34% ( -0.07) | 57.66% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.31% |
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