Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 40

May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
0 - 0
Genk

Van Hecke (31'), Souza (54')

McKenzie (49'), Preciado (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Following their costly defeat to Gent, the visitors will be keen to bounce back to winning ways on the final day, and we see their strong squad having too much for Mechelen, particularly in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Genk
32.6% ( 0.75)	22.78% ( 0.08)	44.62% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 64.91% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.09% (

-0.05)

35.91% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42% (

-0.05)

58% (

0.05)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

0.4)

22.14% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

0.6)

55.53% (

-0.6)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

-0.33)

16.63% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

-0.6)

46.46% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 32.6%

Genk 44.62%

Draw 22.78%

Mechelen	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 44.62%