Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 7.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Eupen
78.18% ( 0.29)	13.97% ( -0.15)	7.85% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.41% (

0.18)

34.59% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.47% (

0.2)

56.53% (

-0.2)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.88% (

0.1)

7.12% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.08% (

0.26)

25.92% (

-0.26)

Eupen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.58% (

-0.22)

48.42% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.46% (

-0.16)

83.54% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Genk 78.17%

Eupen 7.85%

Draw 13.97%

Genk	Draw	Eupen
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 78.17%	1-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 13.97%	0-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 7.85%