Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Genk had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Gent	Draw	Genk
38.28%	26% ( -0)	35.72% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.8% (

0.01)

50.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.84% (

0.01)

72.16% (

-0.01)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34% (

25.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

0.01)

60.55% (

-0.01)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

0.01)

27.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5% (

0.01)

62.49% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gent 38.28%

Genk 35.72%

Draw 26%

Gent	Draw	Genk
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.28%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.72%