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Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
 
G

Qarabag
1 - 0
Gent

Andrade (78')
Xhixha (90+6'), Gugeshashvili (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torunarigha (51'), De Sart (71'), Marreh (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Westerlo 3-3 Gent
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Qarabag FK 1-2 Gent

Qarabag FK have the home advantage in his game, and that could make them the favourites heading into it, especially since they are undefeated in their previous games. However, their previous European performances saw them struggle to get over the line, and that could lead to Gent taking the advantage into the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Gent had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawGent
52.48% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 23.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.23% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (-0.116 -0.12)44.12% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (-0.111 -0.11)66.5% (0.107 0.11)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)16.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.129 -0.13)46.79% (0.125 0.13)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.05% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.026 -0.03)68.52% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 52.48%
    Gent 24.23%
    Draw 23.29%
Qarabag FKDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.48%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 0-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 0-3 Qarabag
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 3-0 Nantes
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-3 Gent
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 2-3 Genk
Sunday, February 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 3-2 Gent
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 0-3 Gent
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 0-0 Charleroi
Thursday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 2-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League


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