Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Gent had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Gent |
52.48% ( -0.08) | 23.29% ( 0.03) | 24.23% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.88% ( -0.12) | 44.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.5% ( -0.11) | 66.5% ( 0.11) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.07) | 16.81% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -0.13) | 46.79% ( 0.13) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( -0.02) | 32.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( -0.03) | 68.52% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK | Draw | Gent |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.23% |
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