Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
