SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Charleroi |
47.76% ( -1.82) | 23.75% ( 0.73) | 28.49% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( -2.6) | 42.74% ( 2.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.86% ( -2.63) | 65.14% ( 2.63) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -1.67) | 18.07% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( -2.94) | 48.99% ( 2.94) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.56) | 28.07% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -0.72) | 63.73% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.63% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.62)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.49% |
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