SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
70.03% ( -0.47) | 17.51% ( 0.3) | 12.46% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.99) | 37.29% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -1.07) | 59.5% ( 1.07) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.45% ( -0.37) | 9.55% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.03% ( -0.87) | 31.97% ( 0.87) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.38) | 41.28% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.34) | 77.81% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.51% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.46% |
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