Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Kortrijk	Draw	Union SG
24.41% ( 0.12)	22.26% ( 0.06)	53.33% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 60.3% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

-0.14)

39.22% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.45% (

-0.14)

61.55% (

0.15)

Kortrijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

0.02)

29.25% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

0.03)

65.21% (

-0.02)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.1)

14.77% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

-0.2)

43.02% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Kortrijk 24.41%

Union SG 53.33%

Draw 22.25%

Kortrijk	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.41%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.33%