Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 9.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.