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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Anderlecht |
49.71% ( -0.26) | 24.26% ( 0) | 26.03% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.17) | 46.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.16) | 69.06% ( -0.17) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.03) | 18.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( -0.06) | 50.35% ( 0.05) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.3) | 32.02% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( 0.33) | 68.49% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.03% |
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