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Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Lotto Park
VL

Anderlecht
1 - 1
Villarreal

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Anderlecht 1-2 Villarreal

Having struggled at Lotto Park in recent times – winning just three of their last 12 home games in all competitions – Anderlecht look set to suffer another defeat on Thursday, with Villarreal likely to score at least twice en route to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
AnderlechtDrawVillarreal
38.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 24.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92%45.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.42% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)57.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 38.41%
    Villarreal 36.71%
    Draw 24.87%
AnderlechtDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gent 1-0 Anderlecht
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 Standard Liege
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Ludogorets (3-0 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 2-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Anderlecht
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, February 12 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 4-2 Villarreal
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga


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