SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
13.61% ( 0.09) | 18.19% ( 0.16) | 68.2% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.57) | 37.68% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.08% ( -0.61) | 59.92% ( 0.61) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.23) | 39.79% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( -0.21) | 76.46% ( 0.21) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( -0.22) | 10.09% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.76% ( -0.5) | 33.24% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.61% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.19% | 0-2 @ 10.56% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 68.19% |
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