SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 3-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
73.79% ( 0.18) | 15.31% ( -0.09) | 10.9% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.24) | 30.66% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.01% ( 0.29) | 51.99% ( -0.29) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% ( 0.09) | 7.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.11% ( 0.24) | 25.89% ( -0.24) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.03) | 39.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( 0.03) | 76.01% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.94% Total : 73.79% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.31% | 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.9% |
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