SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
42.77% ( -1.95) | 25.37% ( 0.38) | 31.86% ( 1.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( -1.02) | 48.3% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( -0.94) | 70.44% ( 0.93) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -1.33) | 22.51% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( -2.02) | 56.07% ( 2.02) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( 0.54) | 28.58% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( 0.67) | 64.38% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.86% |
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