Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
