SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Charleroi | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Westerlo | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Eupen | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Club Brugge | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Kortrijk | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Standard Liege |
45.9% ( -0.03) | 24.86% ( 0.05) | 29.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.23) | 47.25% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0.21) | 69.47% ( 0.21) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.11) | 20.64% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( -0.17) | 53.2% ( 0.17) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( -0.13) | 29.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( -0.15) | 65.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.24% |
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