SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Mechelen |
37.45% ( 0.49) | 25.05% ( 0.05) | 37.49% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( -0.21) | 45.86% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( -0.2) | 68.17% ( 0.2) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.17) | 24.11% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.24) | 58.41% ( -0.24) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.38) | 24.09% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( -0.54) | 58.38% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.49% |
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