SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
45.52% ( 0.5) | 23.14% ( -0.08) | 31.33% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( 0.19) | 38.22% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( 0.2) | 60.49% ( -0.2) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.27) | 17.19% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( 0.47) | 47.45% ( -0.47) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.16) | 23.98% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( -0.22) | 58.22% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.13% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.34% |
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