SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Club Brugge |
30.96% ( -0.46) | 24.69% ( 0) | 44.35% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.22) | 45.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -0.21) | 67.98% ( 0.21) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.41) | 27.86% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.54% ( -0.52) | 63.46% ( 0.52) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0.11) | 20.67% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.75% ( 0.17) | 53.25% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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